After his velocity varied throughout his senior year at times 92-94 mph, at others parked comfortably in the 95-96 mph range and touching above Jobe mostly sat 93-95 in 2022. The Houston Astros are one of the best organizations in MLB for developing in-house talent and this year they have added Esmil Valencia to the list. From a heuristics standpoint, you cant do much better than Rodriguezs profile. This is the third year were delineating between two anticipated relief roles, the abbreviations for which youll see in the position column below: MIRP for multi-inning relief pitchers, and SIRP for single-inning relief pitchers. The top-ranked prospect in the 2021 draft, Mayer dropped to fourth overall, where the Red Sox were happy to scoop him up and sign him for a higher dollar amount than first overall pick Henry Davis. Teams with pool amounts below $5,284,000 lost money from their pools as a penalty for signing free agents who had rejected a qualifying offer. His patient approach and bat-to-ball skills are enough to make him a high-probability primary backstop. He had Tommy John in August of 2019 and rehabbed during a 2020 season that he would have missed anyway. The identifiable visual tweak to the swing, the shift in batted ball profile, and Batys dramatic uptick in home runs are all indications that hes dialed in the details that have kept him vacillating between several FV tiers for the last couple of years. The good news is that Chourio made adjustments throughout the year, ditching his leg kick with two strikes. Power and arm strength have been Cartayas headline tools since his amateur days, and despite missing lots of time in the 2020-21 window due to the pandemic and injuries, he has still developed on defense and managed his strikeout tendencies, and played enough in 2022 to reinforce industry confidence in his plate discipline across a larger sample of plate appearances. He worked out in Panama during the offseason and the Guardians thought he was a full-go for spring training 2023, the start of his 40-man evaluation year. Your email address will not be published. With some of the loudest tools, Ethan Salas has come in as the top signee in the 2023 international class. Remember that there was pre-draft consternation around his age (he was well over 19), which draft models tend to penalize prospects for because of the historical success of younger players. Frelick has a hit-over-power offensive skill set that fits in center field, where were projecting hell improve defensively over time. 2023 Updated In-Season Projections ZiPS (RoS), ZiPS (Update) Steamer (RoS), Steamer (Update) Depth Charts (RoS) THE BAT (RoS), THE BAT X (RoS) 3 Year Projections ZiPS 2024, ZiPS 2025 Rodriguez is still a major league-ready impact prospect and is a prime American League Rookie of the Year candidate. In mid-August, the Orioles moved Hall to the bullpen, and after just four relief appearances over a span of 12 days, he was promoted to Baltimore for a 13-inning cup of coffee. Munetaka Murakami, the record-setting slugger of the Yakult Swallows in Japan, won't be posted until after 2025, when he will be 25 and no longer subject to the international bonus pools. Brown is the Mewtwo of pitchers, engineered as a facsimile of another powerful entity using science and technology. He shows good raw power, and it is expected to increase as he develops. After the Reds gave him some time at first base in 2022, Steer now has experience at all four infield positions. It will be interesting to see how Tovars speed helps inflate his extra-base output in Coors Field; he might end up turning a lot of doubles into triples there. He was the fifth ranked prospect on our 2022 Draft Board but was picked 13th, enough to merit some reconsideration as to whether Neto belongs in the 50 FV already. His trademark breaking ball, which has plus-plus spin and flashes huge depth, tends to finish in the strike zone and isnt yet a consistent putaway pitch. He takes a little while to get his legs churning, but once hes moving, hes a plus runner and has generated some home-to-first times in the neighborhood of 4.1-4.2 seconds. Martes body and athleticism regressed in 2022, and he looked pretty rough in the Arizona Fall League. Hernandez has fantastic bat speed and power for a no-doubt shortstop prospect, but he Kd at a concerning rate in 2022. Standing at 61 and 170 pounds, Acevedo is still filling out and scouts believe there is above-average to plus power long term. 
Miller has always held his velo deep into games despite a violent delivery, and his slider and changeup are both above-average, rounding out a starters mix in a weird mechanical package. Were betting on Hassell in part because hes a very competitive guy who seems hellbent on maxing himself out. If the Giants are contending for a playoff spot, he may be called up during the 2023 season, perhaps first in a bullpen capacity, but he projects as an eventual impact starter. This is mind blowing when you consider that Rafaela has only been playing the outfield for two years. Bradley has, and hes done so while building an innings count that should help vault him into the Rays rotation at some point in 2023. Tepat sekali untuk Those aforementioned late-bloomer traits are a reason to think Frelick might develop in center field and turn into a Brandon Nimmo-type player, and that possibility is why he moved onto the Top 100 this offseason. Jones combination of present baseball ability and physical projection were unmatched in the 2022 draft class. If not for the risk created by Tovars plate discipline, hed be in the 55 FV tier, as hes otherwise about to produce like a complete up-the-middle player. Though he doesnt throw the pitch a ton, his changeup feel is also very good and currently more consistent than his feel for his new slider, though we expect that will come. Lawlars throwing stroke to first base can sometimes be a little odd, but he finds all kinds of crazy ways to contort his body and send the baseball where it needs to go, which is especially true of his feeds to second base. Montgomery may provide a counterexample to the industrys obsession with hitters age in the draft room, as the former 19-year-old high schooler looks like he might be a star. Carrolls surprising power development bolsters what was once a traditional leadoff mans skill set featuring elite speed and a great approach. Look under the hood and there is cause for concern. This is a little odd, but it might be remedied with an unobtrusive mechanical tweak. Firm, upper-80s changeups and sliders dart in different directions, and are thrown with 100 mph-looking effort. BA Newsletter: Get Analysis, Rankings Delivered To Your Inbox! Juan Nunez (2004, 6-4, G, Real Madrid) is a lefty point guard. And unlike in the United States, where players often commit to a college when they're 14 but are still scouted intensely by major league teams leading up to draft day, once an international player commits to a team, they stop going to showcases and typically aren't scouted much in a competitive environment by other clubs. There will probably be a consistent hole against fastballs up and away for Domnguez. His hands are quick and direct to the ball, though he struggles to make contact in front of the plate, often over-swings, and tends to chase. He checks literally every scouting box, and for as much as analytical boxes matter for a high school hitter, he checks those, too. His stuff has gotten even better under the tutelage of Clevelands player dev system, and he dominated during his 2021 full season debut, putting up a strikeout rate north of 40% while shortening his arm action and altering his slot to impart more vertical movement on his heater. Another candidate to Chourio, Ramirez is among the highest-variance prospects in the minors. Dominican SS Joendry Vargas: One of the better pure hitters in the international class, 17-year-old Vargas has advanced strike zone knowledge and a rare sweet right-handed swing. Hitters seem to take more comfortable swings against his breaking stuff later in outings, so perhaps theres something about Painters fastball angle that makes it easier to see his breaking balls pop out of hand once theyve had a look at them. Red Sox | DC. 
Allens fastball has other traits that help it punch above its weight, and he commands it with machine-like regularity to the locations in which it is most effective. He needs to improve at framing pitches in the bottom of the zone, especially breaking balls, which he tends to let travel too deep, making them appear to be below the zone. Lefteris Mantzoukas (2003, 6-10, F, Panathinaikos) is one of the most productive players of his generation in FIBAs junior level. Hes already noticeably thicker now than he was in high school, though thats probably part of where the power is coming from. Volpes uppercut swing will allow him to get to impact power for a middle infielder. If he can throw strikes in Allentown, hell likely crack the Phillies bullpen in 2023, and he has closer ceiling if he can throw strikes consistently. Meanwhile, his walk rate increased by a wider margin post promotion, and he displayed a knack for picking out punishable fastballs, though hes still a bit vulnerable to well-placed breaking balls out of his reach. Lee is a skilled, switch-hitting shortstop (for now) with power. A big-league ready, mid-rotation starter, Waldichuks arsenal also includes a changeup that he finishes with remarkable precision, but which he reserves almost exclusively for right-handed opponents (hes only thrown one changeup to a big-league lefty). His pre-trade numbers were impressive and only improved when he joined Rocket-City: In his 29 games with the Angels Double-A affiliate, OHoppe slashed .306/.473/.673 and walked more than he struck out, good for a 194 wRC+ over that span. Now, after what might be a delayed start to his 2023, hell be asked to hit the ground running after only playing half of last year. Find out where your favorite Position stacks up against the 2023 class and view expert mock drafts. Bonus pool trades were put on hold the last few years, during the pandemic. His 2022 throwing was not quite as good as previous notes indicate, with lots of one-hoppers to the bag or throws sailing on him, though Naylors pop times remain close to average. Ethan Salas, C, VenezuelaThe top player in the class is one of the best catching prospects in recent history. Poised to make an immediate impact as Arizonas leadoff hitter, Carroll is the tip of the spear the Diamondbacks are pointing at the Dodgers and Padres. He tends to work contact to center and right field, especially against fastballs, and he has a clear two-strike approach where he ditches his leg kick and takes a more conservative swing. Across the season as a whole, his fastball only sat 95 mph, and in his final start of the year it was mostly in the 93-96 mph range, which is a two-tick regression from 2021, when Rodriguez sat 96-98 all year. While especially adept at launching pitches on the inner third, Johnson also shows some ability to shorten up and cover the top and outer edge of the strike zone. He wasnt tested on the complex in 2022. 
Domnguez also wasnt seen facing live pitching very much as an amateur, so while his showcase tools were evident, there wasnt as much confidence in his hit tool as is typical of a top-of-the-class prospect. He has terrific breaking ball recognition, uses his whole body to maneuver the barrel around the zone, and can let pitches travel deep before driving them the other way, and Henderson is strong enough to do damage to left field even when hes late or mis-hits a pitch. Then Nelson had a dominant 2021 season spent mostly at Double-A Amarillo, striking out 163 hitters in 116.1 innings, all as a starter. He can protect the rim and has good defensive instincts- but he loses focus. Its possible he was gassed from playing a career-high 132 games during the regular season, and these issues are uncharacteristic of Rocchio. Davis has huge, plus-plus raw power, and will be a star if he can stay behind the plate or a solid everyday first baseman if he cant. Arroyo hit for a surprising amount of power at Low-A Modesto before he was sent to the Reds as part of the Luis Castillo trade, golfing out 13 homers and slugging .514. Acevedo resembles a prospect in the Nationals system in Jeremy De La Rosa and could have a similar slow rise through the minors refining his skills. He ultimately went fourth overall to Pittsburgh, and because hes a relatively advanced hitter with a mature build, theres a good chance the Pirates move Johnson through the minors pretty quickly if he hits the ground running offensively. He primarily pairs the heater with a shapely low-80s slider and gets most of his swing-and-miss in the zone with both offerings. During that stretch, he was also swinging and missing within the strike zone a ton. Historically, Wesneski has favored his four-seamer overall, though against big league righties, his awesome slider and sinker out-paced the heater in terms of usage, with both secondaries garnering above-average chase rates and aiding his ability to maintain a high groundball rate. Its a mid-rotation starters stuff, and healthy Williams should produce as such at the big league level, though the pitchers who tend to get hurt are the ones who have been hurt in the past, and theres enough of a track record here to alter how Williams lines up with similarly talented peers. Ramirez has to cut some mechanical corners to swing as hard as he does right now, and that leads to swing-and-miss risk that adds to whats already present because of his propensity to chase, but that might be ironed out as he gets stronger and can take a more traditional swing. He rocketed through Arizonas system in 2021, making brief stops at both A-ball levels before closing the season with six starts for Double-A Amarillo, where he then spent most of 2022 dominating to the tune of a 32% K% and 4% BB% before a late promotion to Reno. Vadim Frolov (F) EHL. While there were some pre-draft industry concerns about the balky back, Williams innings-eating frame, his intense on-mound presence, and the ferocity of his stuff made him a slam dunk first round prospect. The 64 and 190-pound Walcott hit his growth spurt at only 16 years old, begging the question what more can we expect? Webjackson morgan salted caramel nutrition facts. He is loose and fluid in the box but does have some swing-and-miss concerns, which is standard for a hitter with levers this long. Learn how your comment data is processed. His hands work with natural lift, but Busch keeps their path short and on time, and he can move the barrel all over the zone. Julien has been without a true defensive home since college and didnt look great at the keystone during a prolonged look in the Arizona Fall League. Alfredo Duno, C, VenezuelaTeam: Reds. With Atlantas track record of player development, all eyes will be on Luis Guanipa as he looks to make his professional debut in 2023. 2023 Red Sox Major League & Minor League Opening Day Rosters. What a difference a year makes. His strikeout rate began to decline after that, and while his fastball was averaging just over 96 mph across his first four professional starts, it was just below 94 mph over his last four. At 63 and 205 pounds Guerrero is built for power and has drawn double-plus power grades from scouts. The compact nature of Carrolls body and swing gives him a little extra time and distance to diagnose pitches, and his strength makes him a threat to do damage on the ones that he lets travel deep into the hitting zone. Defensively, lvarez is a bit of a mixed bag. We can quibble over whether A-ball dynamics have changed due to the elimination of the short season leagues in a way that might invalidate historical precedents like this, but its reasonable to have some pause about Williams long-term prospectdom when you realize the closest 2022 comp for his contact data (66% contact%, 78% z-contact) was Paul DeJong. Millers arm swing is long and he has again been somewhat walk-prone in pro ball. De La Cruz is a boom-or-bust prospect who could really bust or go supernova. Coming from Germanys 3rd division, where he averaged almost a double-double with 2 blocks per game at the age of 17, Ousmane Ndiaye is the definition of a diamond in the rough. Yophery Rodriguez has some toolsy features that lead me to believe he could be a steal for the Brewers in this class. He debuted with Boston late in the season and flashed the titanic power that promises to make him a valuable big league regular, while also running the high walk and strikeout rates that readers should expect from him going forward. His arm slot is not as deliberately north/south as before, but his fastball still plays as an in-zone bat-misser because of his angle and carry. A newer offering for him (at least based on the previous notes and data FanGraphs has), it spins at 2,900 rpm, 300 rpm more than his trademark slider. After he went second overall in the 2021 draft, Leiter rested for the remainder of that season, having racked up 110 innings on the mound for Vanderbilt. Merrills style of hitting generates a lot of liners and groundballs his swing only occasionally has homer-producing lift but he is striking the baseball with precision and authority in a way thats pretty amazing for a teenage shortstop, let alone one who dealt with a wrist fracture during the year. Except Ortiz hit 19 homers and had 60 total extra-base hits in the upper-minors last year, and while he doesnt project to produce that kind of power against big league stuff, its enough damage to project Ortizs offense above the median bar at shortstop. Eder was a tantalizing but inconsistent high school prospect who at times would sit 94-97 mph, but often with scattershot control. Even at shortstop, there isnt a full-time player in the big leagues who punches out quite that often. Naylors speed is also rare for a catcher. He was seen a ton as a junior because he played at IMG, which was home to a lot of 2021 draft prospects and served as competition for others. Future All-Stars will be signed when international free agency opens Sunday. Often described on this website as Baseballs Zion Williamson, Domnguez entered the 2022 season as one of the most volatile prospects in the sport. His forearms have grown like the Grinchs heart, and Carroll can now bang wall-threatening contact to all fields with the flick of his wrists. Names like Acuna, Rodriguez, Franco, and Guerrero have managers trying to strike gold in first-year player drafts with the next wave incoming. The reality, though, is it's much more difficult to gauge an international class because players, mostly from the Dominican Republic and Venezuela, are signing at 16 and 17 but often agreed with a team when they were 13 or 14. His actions are lightning quick, but his range, ability to bend, the suredeness of his hands, and his arm accuracy all look less consistent. There is some analytical fire to back up the smoke the scouts are smelling. His amateur look was that of a slash-and-dash leadoff man with doubles power and a great idea of the strike zone. Poised to be a post-2023 40-man add, Flores worked just over 100 innings in 2022. Please enter your email address. Even after a wildly successful 2021, Mead still cut down on what was already a very modest in-the-box stride and now derives all of his power from the rotation of his hips and the strength of his hands, which have a setup akin to vintage Evan Longoria. The Orioles selected Ortiz in the fourth round based largely on his defensive prowess, and he has lived up to those expectations while exceeding them on the offensive side. His fastball now sits 95-99 mph, up seven ticks from his college days, and while it currently relies heavily on its velocity rather than its below-average shape, a scout we spoke with was optimistic regarding the 22-year-olds ability to continue to improve the offering, singing Graceffos praises when it comes to his work ethic. He runs well enough to play an outfield corner and were projecting him there, la Schwarbers trajectory. With breathtaking bat speed, he wraps the head of his bat over his back shoulder, keeping it pointed toward the mound well after the pitcher releases the ball, then whips it through the zone so quickly that he still manages to make contact in front of the plate. Luis Morales, RHP, CubaThe right-hander is one of the most interesting and dynamic prospects in the class. He practically straddles the plate and was hit by 20 pitches during an injury-shortened regular season, then was somehow beaned seven more times in just 17 Arizona Fall League games. He has a mid-80s cutter/slider that doesnt often have vertical depth, but it does have great length for how hard it is. MLB.com adds he "plays with flair and is dedicated to improving." This level of athleticism might be an indication that Rodriguez will find a way to mature into more raw power despite not having a traditionally projectable frame. Its tough for hitters who are looking for a fastball to do anything with them, even though Millers feel for locating his secondaries (especially his sinking changeup and low-80s curveball) is not sharp. Salas has baseball bloodlines. He returned in the spring of 2021, but tore his ACL and missed all of that season as well. After hitting .278/.373/.556 with San Jose, he was promoted to High-A and struck out at a 37% clip during the final month of the season. Zavala was the youngest player to reach an affiliate in 2022, joining Low-A Lake Elsinore just a couple weeks after his 18th birthday. He still isnt throwing a great many strikes with his fastball, but the improved command reinforces his viability as a starter, and he looks likely to make his big league debut this season. A prospect like no other. Wood has a real chance to both hit and hit for gargantuan power, and while his swing isnt geared for consistent lift at this point, he has the raw strength to do damage anyway. Philadelphia Phillies Top 50 Prospects (2023) January 6, 2023 Tony Bps General, MiLB, NL East, Phillies, Top 50 Lists 2 Philadelphia Phillies Top 50 graphic design by Michael Packard, @CollectingPack on Twitter The Phillies are coming off a successful 2022 where they made the World Series for the first time since 2009. He fell behind some of the other high school infielders in his draft class due to doubts that Arroyo could stay at short as well as concerns about his hit tool. Bibee seems to have altered his stride direction so that he isnt landing quite as closed as he was at Fullerton, which appears to enable him to stay behind the baseball a little better, creating riding action on a fastball that wasnt previously as explosive. 1 or 2 starter. And it doesnt take long before you start talking about players with warts that reduce confidence in the overall profile. He also throws a changeup and a slider, both of which show promise, though neither was featured much in his 2022 mix. This is particularly important given the fact that his fastballs viability has more to do with its velocity than its shape, so being able to rely more heavily on the secondaries he also features an impressive mid-80s slider and a changeup he reserves mainly for use against lefties allows the whole mix to play up. Williams injury history and the relative violence of his delivery kept him just outside the 50 FV tier on the Cleveland list, even though he had a strong pro debut and spent most of the year at Double-A Akron. There is hit-related bust risk here, but things trended in a favorable direction during Greens senior season and he didnt play enough after the draft for his pro strikeout rate to scare us away. For more great analysis check out the 2023 FantraxHQ Fantasy Baseball Draft Kit! Manzardo hasnt hit a single speed bump in pro ball and moved into the Top 100 during the middle of 2022 on the strength of his statistical performance and visual feel to hit. 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Newsletter: Get Analysis, Rankings Delivered to Your Inbox long and he pretty... Shows good raw power, and are thrown with 100 mph-looking effort only playing.
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Miller has always held his velo deep into games despite a violent delivery, and his slider and changeup are both above-average, rounding out a starters mix in a weird mechanical package. Were betting on Hassell in part because hes a very competitive guy who seems hellbent on maxing himself out. If the Giants are contending for a playoff spot, he may be called up during the 2023 season, perhaps first in a bullpen capacity, but he projects as an eventual impact starter. This is mind blowing when you consider that Rafaela has only been playing the outfield for two years. Bradley has, and hes done so while building an innings count that should help vault him into the Rays rotation at some point in 2023. Tepat sekali untuk Those aforementioned late-bloomer traits are a reason to think Frelick might develop in center field and turn into a Brandon Nimmo-type player, and that possibility is why he moved onto the Top 100 this offseason. Jones combination of present baseball ability and physical projection were unmatched in the 2022 draft class. If not for the risk created by Tovars plate discipline, hed be in the 55 FV tier, as hes otherwise about to produce like a complete up-the-middle player. Though he doesnt throw the pitch a ton, his changeup feel is also very good and currently more consistent than his feel for his new slider, though we expect that will come. Lawlars throwing stroke to first base can sometimes be a little odd, but he finds all kinds of crazy ways to contort his body and send the baseball where it needs to go, which is especially true of his feeds to second base. Montgomery may provide a counterexample to the industrys obsession with hitters age in the draft room, as the former 19-year-old high schooler looks like he might be a star. Carrolls surprising power development bolsters what was once a traditional leadoff mans skill set featuring elite speed and a great approach. Look under the hood and there is cause for concern. This is a little odd, but it might be remedied with an unobtrusive mechanical tweak. Firm, upper-80s changeups and sliders dart in different directions, and are thrown with 100 mph-looking effort. BA Newsletter: Get Analysis, Rankings Delivered To Your Inbox! Juan Nunez (2004, 6-4, G, Real Madrid) is a lefty point guard. And unlike in the United States, where players often commit to a college when they're 14 but are still scouted intensely by major league teams leading up to draft day, once an international player commits to a team, they stop going to showcases and typically aren't scouted much in a competitive environment by other clubs. There will probably be a consistent hole against fastballs up and away for Domnguez. His hands are quick and direct to the ball, though he struggles to make contact in front of the plate, often over-swings, and tends to chase. He checks literally every scouting box, and for as much as analytical boxes matter for a high school hitter, he checks those, too. His stuff has gotten even better under the tutelage of Clevelands player dev system, and he dominated during his 2021 full season debut, putting up a strikeout rate north of 40% while shortening his arm action and altering his slot to impart more vertical movement on his heater. Another candidate to Chourio, Ramirez is among the highest-variance prospects in the minors. Dominican SS Joendry Vargas: One of the better pure hitters in the international class, 17-year-old Vargas has advanced strike zone knowledge and a rare sweet right-handed swing. Hitters seem to take more comfortable swings against his breaking stuff later in outings, so perhaps theres something about Painters fastball angle that makes it easier to see his breaking balls pop out of hand once theyve had a look at them. Red Sox | DC. Allens fastball has other traits that help it punch above its weight, and he commands it with machine-like regularity to the locations in which it is most effective. He needs to improve at framing pitches in the bottom of the zone, especially breaking balls, which he tends to let travel too deep, making them appear to be below the zone. Lefteris Mantzoukas (2003, 6-10, F, Panathinaikos) is one of the most productive players of his generation in FIBAs junior level. Hes already noticeably thicker now than he was in high school, though thats probably part of where the power is coming from. Volpes uppercut swing will allow him to get to impact power for a middle infielder. If he can throw strikes in Allentown, hell likely crack the Phillies bullpen in 2023, and he has closer ceiling if he can throw strikes consistently. Meanwhile, his walk rate increased by a wider margin post promotion, and he displayed a knack for picking out punishable fastballs, though hes still a bit vulnerable to well-placed breaking balls out of his reach. Lee is a skilled, switch-hitting shortstop (for now) with power. A big-league ready, mid-rotation starter, Waldichuks arsenal also includes a changeup that he finishes with remarkable precision, but which he reserves almost exclusively for right-handed opponents (hes only thrown one changeup to a big-league lefty). His pre-trade numbers were impressive and only improved when he joined Rocket-City: In his 29 games with the Angels Double-A affiliate, OHoppe slashed .306/.473/.673 and walked more than he struck out, good for a 194 wRC+ over that span. Now, after what might be a delayed start to his 2023, hell be asked to hit the ground running after only playing half of last year. Find out where your favorite Position stacks up against the 2023 class and view expert mock drafts. Bonus pool trades were put on hold the last few years, during the pandemic. His 2022 throwing was not quite as good as previous notes indicate, with lots of one-hoppers to the bag or throws sailing on him, though Naylors pop times remain close to average. Ethan Salas, C, VenezuelaThe top player in the class is one of the best catching prospects in recent history. Poised to make an immediate impact as Arizonas leadoff hitter, Carroll is the tip of the spear the Diamondbacks are pointing at the Dodgers and Padres. He tends to work contact to center and right field, especially against fastballs, and he has a clear two-strike approach where he ditches his leg kick and takes a more conservative swing. Across the season as a whole, his fastball only sat 95 mph, and in his final start of the year it was mostly in the 93-96 mph range, which is a two-tick regression from 2021, when Rodriguez sat 96-98 all year. While especially adept at launching pitches on the inner third, Johnson also shows some ability to shorten up and cover the top and outer edge of the strike zone. He wasnt tested on the complex in 2022. Domnguez also wasnt seen facing live pitching very much as an amateur, so while his showcase tools were evident, there wasnt as much confidence in his hit tool as is typical of a top-of-the-class prospect. He has terrific breaking ball recognition, uses his whole body to maneuver the barrel around the zone, and can let pitches travel deep before driving them the other way, and Henderson is strong enough to do damage to left field even when hes late or mis-hits a pitch. Then Nelson had a dominant 2021 season spent mostly at Double-A Amarillo, striking out 163 hitters in 116.1 innings, all as a starter. He can protect the rim and has good defensive instincts- but he loses focus. Its possible he was gassed from playing a career-high 132 games during the regular season, and these issues are uncharacteristic of Rocchio. Davis has huge, plus-plus raw power, and will be a star if he can stay behind the plate or a solid everyday first baseman if he cant. Arroyo hit for a surprising amount of power at Low-A Modesto before he was sent to the Reds as part of the Luis Castillo trade, golfing out 13 homers and slugging .514. Acevedo resembles a prospect in the Nationals system in Jeremy De La Rosa and could have a similar slow rise through the minors refining his skills. He ultimately went fourth overall to Pittsburgh, and because hes a relatively advanced hitter with a mature build, theres a good chance the Pirates move Johnson through the minors pretty quickly if he hits the ground running offensively. He primarily pairs the heater with a shapely low-80s slider and gets most of his swing-and-miss in the zone with both offerings. During that stretch, he was also swinging and missing within the strike zone a ton. Historically, Wesneski has favored his four-seamer overall, though against big league righties, his awesome slider and sinker out-paced the heater in terms of usage, with both secondaries garnering above-average chase rates and aiding his ability to maintain a high groundball rate. Its a mid-rotation starters stuff, and healthy Williams should produce as such at the big league level, though the pitchers who tend to get hurt are the ones who have been hurt in the past, and theres enough of a track record here to alter how Williams lines up with similarly talented peers. Ramirez has to cut some mechanical corners to swing as hard as he does right now, and that leads to swing-and-miss risk that adds to whats already present because of his propensity to chase, but that might be ironed out as he gets stronger and can take a more traditional swing. He rocketed through Arizonas system in 2021, making brief stops at both A-ball levels before closing the season with six starts for Double-A Amarillo, where he then spent most of 2022 dominating to the tune of a 32% K% and 4% BB% before a late promotion to Reno. Vadim Frolov (F) EHL. While there were some pre-draft industry concerns about the balky back, Williams innings-eating frame, his intense on-mound presence, and the ferocity of his stuff made him a slam dunk first round prospect. The 64 and 190-pound Walcott hit his growth spurt at only 16 years old, begging the question what more can we expect? Webjackson morgan salted caramel nutrition facts. He is loose and fluid in the box but does have some swing-and-miss concerns, which is standard for a hitter with levers this long. Learn how your comment data is processed. His hands work with natural lift, but Busch keeps their path short and on time, and he can move the barrel all over the zone. Julien has been without a true defensive home since college and didnt look great at the keystone during a prolonged look in the Arizona Fall League. Alfredo Duno, C, VenezuelaTeam: Reds. With Atlantas track record of player development, all eyes will be on Luis Guanipa as he looks to make his professional debut in 2023. 2023 Red Sox Major League & Minor League Opening Day Rosters. What a difference a year makes. His strikeout rate began to decline after that, and while his fastball was averaging just over 96 mph across his first four professional starts, it was just below 94 mph over his last four. At 63 and 205 pounds Guerrero is built for power and has drawn double-plus power grades from scouts. The compact nature of Carrolls body and swing gives him a little extra time and distance to diagnose pitches, and his strength makes him a threat to do damage on the ones that he lets travel deep into the hitting zone. Defensively, lvarez is a bit of a mixed bag. We can quibble over whether A-ball dynamics have changed due to the elimination of the short season leagues in a way that might invalidate historical precedents like this, but its reasonable to have some pause about Williams long-term prospectdom when you realize the closest 2022 comp for his contact data (66% contact%, 78% z-contact) was Paul DeJong. Millers arm swing is long and he has again been somewhat walk-prone in pro ball. De La Cruz is a boom-or-bust prospect who could really bust or go supernova. Coming from Germanys 3rd division, where he averaged almost a double-double with 2 blocks per game at the age of 17, Ousmane Ndiaye is the definition of a diamond in the rough. Yophery Rodriguez has some toolsy features that lead me to believe he could be a steal for the Brewers in this class. He debuted with Boston late in the season and flashed the titanic power that promises to make him a valuable big league regular, while also running the high walk and strikeout rates that readers should expect from him going forward. His arm slot is not as deliberately north/south as before, but his fastball still plays as an in-zone bat-misser because of his angle and carry. A newer offering for him (at least based on the previous notes and data FanGraphs has), it spins at 2,900 rpm, 300 rpm more than his trademark slider. After he went second overall in the 2021 draft, Leiter rested for the remainder of that season, having racked up 110 innings on the mound for Vanderbilt. Merrills style of hitting generates a lot of liners and groundballs his swing only occasionally has homer-producing lift but he is striking the baseball with precision and authority in a way thats pretty amazing for a teenage shortstop, let alone one who dealt with a wrist fracture during the year. Except Ortiz hit 19 homers and had 60 total extra-base hits in the upper-minors last year, and while he doesnt project to produce that kind of power against big league stuff, its enough damage to project Ortizs offense above the median bar at shortstop. Eder was a tantalizing but inconsistent high school prospect who at times would sit 94-97 mph, but often with scattershot control. Even at shortstop, there isnt a full-time player in the big leagues who punches out quite that often. Naylors speed is also rare for a catcher. He was seen a ton as a junior because he played at IMG, which was home to a lot of 2021 draft prospects and served as competition for others. Future All-Stars will be signed when international free agency opens Sunday. Often described on this website as Baseballs Zion Williamson, Domnguez entered the 2022 season as one of the most volatile prospects in the sport. His forearms have grown like the Grinchs heart, and Carroll can now bang wall-threatening contact to all fields with the flick of his wrists. Names like Acuna, Rodriguez, Franco, and Guerrero have managers trying to strike gold in first-year player drafts with the next wave incoming. The reality, though, is it's much more difficult to gauge an international class because players, mostly from the Dominican Republic and Venezuela, are signing at 16 and 17 but often agreed with a team when they were 13 or 14. His actions are lightning quick, but his range, ability to bend, the suredeness of his hands, and his arm accuracy all look less consistent. There is some analytical fire to back up the smoke the scouts are smelling. His amateur look was that of a slash-and-dash leadoff man with doubles power and a great idea of the strike zone. Poised to be a post-2023 40-man add, Flores worked just over 100 innings in 2022. Please enter your email address. Even after a wildly successful 2021, Mead still cut down on what was already a very modest in-the-box stride and now derives all of his power from the rotation of his hips and the strength of his hands, which have a setup akin to vintage Evan Longoria. The Orioles selected Ortiz in the fourth round based largely on his defensive prowess, and he has lived up to those expectations while exceeding them on the offensive side. His fastball now sits 95-99 mph, up seven ticks from his college days, and while it currently relies heavily on its velocity rather than its below-average shape, a scout we spoke with was optimistic regarding the 22-year-olds ability to continue to improve the offering, singing Graceffos praises when it comes to his work ethic. He runs well enough to play an outfield corner and were projecting him there, la Schwarbers trajectory. With breathtaking bat speed, he wraps the head of his bat over his back shoulder, keeping it pointed toward the mound well after the pitcher releases the ball, then whips it through the zone so quickly that he still manages to make contact in front of the plate. Luis Morales, RHP, CubaThe right-hander is one of the most interesting and dynamic prospects in the class. He practically straddles the plate and was hit by 20 pitches during an injury-shortened regular season, then was somehow beaned seven more times in just 17 Arizona Fall League games. He has a mid-80s cutter/slider that doesnt often have vertical depth, but it does have great length for how hard it is. MLB.com adds he "plays with flair and is dedicated to improving." This level of athleticism might be an indication that Rodriguez will find a way to mature into more raw power despite not having a traditionally projectable frame. Its tough for hitters who are looking for a fastball to do anything with them, even though Millers feel for locating his secondaries (especially his sinking changeup and low-80s curveball) is not sharp. Salas has baseball bloodlines. He returned in the spring of 2021, but tore his ACL and missed all of that season as well. After hitting .278/.373/.556 with San Jose, he was promoted to High-A and struck out at a 37% clip during the final month of the season. Zavala was the youngest player to reach an affiliate in 2022, joining Low-A Lake Elsinore just a couple weeks after his 18th birthday. He still isnt throwing a great many strikes with his fastball, but the improved command reinforces his viability as a starter, and he looks likely to make his big league debut this season. A prospect like no other. Wood has a real chance to both hit and hit for gargantuan power, and while his swing isnt geared for consistent lift at this point, he has the raw strength to do damage anyway. Philadelphia Phillies Top 50 Prospects (2023) January 6, 2023 Tony Bps General, MiLB, NL East, Phillies, Top 50 Lists 2 Philadelphia Phillies Top 50 graphic design by Michael Packard, @CollectingPack on Twitter The Phillies are coming off a successful 2022 where they made the World Series for the first time since 2009. He fell behind some of the other high school infielders in his draft class due to doubts that Arroyo could stay at short as well as concerns about his hit tool. Bibee seems to have altered his stride direction so that he isnt landing quite as closed as he was at Fullerton, which appears to enable him to stay behind the baseball a little better, creating riding action on a fastball that wasnt previously as explosive. 1 or 2 starter. And it doesnt take long before you start talking about players with warts that reduce confidence in the overall profile. He also throws a changeup and a slider, both of which show promise, though neither was featured much in his 2022 mix. This is particularly important given the fact that his fastballs viability has more to do with its velocity than its shape, so being able to rely more heavily on the secondaries he also features an impressive mid-80s slider and a changeup he reserves mainly for use against lefties allows the whole mix to play up. Williams injury history and the relative violence of his delivery kept him just outside the 50 FV tier on the Cleveland list, even though he had a strong pro debut and spent most of the year at Double-A Akron. There is hit-related bust risk here, but things trended in a favorable direction during Greens senior season and he didnt play enough after the draft for his pro strikeout rate to scare us away. For more great analysis check out the 2023 FantraxHQ Fantasy Baseball Draft Kit! Manzardo hasnt hit a single speed bump in pro ball and moved into the Top 100 during the middle of 2022 on the strength of his statistical performance and visual feel to hit. 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Newsletter: Get Analysis, Rankings Delivered to Your Inbox long and he pretty... Shows good raw power, and are thrown with 100 mph-looking effort only playing.
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